Организация основного производства на предприятии The construction industry depends largely on the quality of forecasting its investment activity. A number of factors and the lack of stability of the conditions that have shaped the dynamics of its components complicate the process of establishing an adequate mathematical function describing the development trend of indicators of investment activity of an enterprise in the construction industry.
Organization of production at the enterprises of the industryon the basis of medium-term and long-term forecasting of indicators of investment activity of enterprises, it is possible based on the methods of Kholyp-Winters and Brown.
The organization of the main production and forecasting of the critical level of investment activity of the enterprise reveal the functional dependence of the market value of the business entity
on the level of its investment activity.The presence of this dependence indicates that the most significant factor contributing to the growth or decline in the value of an enterprise is the increase or decrease in the activity of its investment activity, and, accordingly, such an indicator as the organization of production at the enterprises of the industry. In turn, reducing the value of an enterprise implies a loss of its competitive advantage in the market, a drop in the efficiency of its activities and its reduction, i.e. the achievement by the enterprise of a financial and crisis state, and in some cases of the loss of the expediency of conducting production and economic activity. Here, the organization of production at the enterprises of the industry assumes a special significance of forecasting, which allows foreseeing quantitative changes in investment activity indicators - the activity index - and its structural indicators and making it possible in the planning process of promising activities to determine measures to avoid or prevent undesirable dynamics of the investment activity of a business entity order and change its market value.
Necessary stage of investment forecastingactivity is the determination of the critical level (threshold value) of its investment activity (structural indicators), upon reaching which, there are qualitative changes in the market value of a business entity occurring when an enterprise transitions as a system to a different development trajectory. Such a transition is accompanied by violations in the system or its destruction, i.e. loss of stability. The instability of dynamic systems is the subject of a study of the theory of catastrophes.
In view of the direct dependence of the investment activity of an enterprise on the value of its assets that we have identified, the issue of managing investment activity with the aim of increasing it becomes urgent.
Conducted correlation and regression analysisshowed that the index of investment activity, which is the most important characteristic of the investment activity of an enterprise, is most closely associated with the quality parameters of investment activity, such as investment management, quality of personnel, level of creativity of investment projects and technologies for their implementation. In addition, the organization of production at the enterprises of the industry in such conditions increases the value of the quality of the forecast, through which it is possible to carry out effective management not only at the level of current technological development, but also at the level of strategic planning, bearing in mind the possibility of entering construction services abroad.
