To analyze the bookmaker movementlines, it is necessary to monitor the coefficients. This concept reflects the reaction of a specific sporting event to the demand of kappers. Experienced players are able to track the movement of quotes. They look for the stakes with the highest odds. In this article we will talk about such a game strategy as the “movement of the betting lines”, which are monitored by cappers. So let's get started.
Definition
Обычно на конкретное событие букмекеры ставят Kefs, based on two factors: either based on their own statistical information and analytics, or on the basis of a ready-made line formed by an analytical agency. For these purposes, some bookmakers have their own analytical departments. There are also companies that base their colleagues on the line. And they are not particularly worried that this is a kind of plagiarism.
Линия – это группа взаимосвязанных рынков и Kefov exposed to them. For example, 1X2 is a line that has three shoulders: the victory of the 1st team, the draw and the victory of the 2nd. A line can also consist of form (F1 (-2), F1 (-1), F1 (+1), etc.) and totals (TB (0), TB (1) and others). There are many other types of bets.
You have to understand that changing the lines of bookmakeroffices connected with the interaction between several markets. For example, when updating market 1X2 coefficients, the odds and outcomes coefficients will be necessarily affected. But this may not have any impact on the markets associated with the corner, cards and total (football).
Over time, kafy, exhibited offices on thoseor other markets are able to change. This is the movement of the betting lines. Monitoring the coefficients will certainly help to understand both the prerequisites and the consequences of this process. A professional capper needs to understand this. Otherwise, he has very little chance of drawing the right conclusions about the event and increasing his profitability.
When do the lines move?
Before answering this question, you need to understandthat is the loading line. By this term is meant the total amount of money that is put on all shoulders within one line. Progruz one outcome of the line - a special case. For example, the total amount of bets to win the 1st team in the line 1X2. That is, when the amount of money supply for this outcome prevails substantially, they say that the line is loaded.
What is wrong with loading a shoulder?
For the capper itself - nothing.He made a bet and is waiting for the outcome. But for a bookmaker, it’s not the total amount of money that is put in, but their even distribution over the shoulders. After all, the main salary of the office is in the margin. One-time loss of players is not so important. So, when one of the shoulders is overloaded, and the others are not, for the bookmaker there is a threat of loss. If the loaded market wins, the office will suffer losses on multiple payouts. This is where the betting lines move. That is, if the victory of the 1st team in the 1X2 line is loaded, then X and 2 start moving upwards. This will increase the number of bets on these markets and balance all three levers.
Causes
We have already found out that the change in the lines of bookmakers is directly related to the overload. The latter arises due to two types of player activity: unintentional and intentional.
Unintentional overload
Appears at the time of loading the favorite (verypopular with players) market. For example, it may be one of the main outcomes 1X2 or total goals. Most often, amateur players put on the most understandable and simple market. For the same victory any of the teams. This makes it possible for offices to understate rates, thereby obtaining a large margin due to the failure of one of the top markets. For example, when two tennis players play, the coefficient on the strongest always loads more. And in the same football there are also draws, which allow offices to more than recoup the increase in interest rates on the favorite. Thus, when players put too much on one shoulder, the betting lines move. As a result, the loaded kef decreases, and the underutilized increases.
Intentional factors
By intentional factors include a one-timeSignificant progruz any of the shoulders of the line. Most often this happens with contractual games. This is a very deep and complex issue that requires a separate study. But within this topic it is worth noting that for all gaming companies such bets are suspicious and sometimes become the subject of separate proceedings. In this case, the progruz not only causes a spasmodic movement of the betting lines, but can also cause a complete closure of the market. In general, any non-standard behavior of players can turn into unforeseen expenses for offices, which they do not want to bear.
Practical use
Let's find out how the analysis of the movement of betting lines can help the capper. And for easier understanding we will give specific practical examples.
By choosing a bet and a specific market, we cantrace the dynamics of change in the last couple of days. After that you can make a conclusion about the appropriateness of the bet. For example, if over the past 48 hours, kef in a selected market has changed a lot, then, most likely, one of its shoulders has been loaded. How this happens, we described above. If the ratio has fallen dramatically, then this market has either made a lot of bets, or a little, but significant in amount. In this case, the analysis should be based on the level of authoritativeness of the game event. When it comes to any insignificant match, the nature of this load is dubious. There may be collusion between teams (players). If the event is significant, then such a movement of the caf speaks of the desire of the gaming company to earn or balance the gross volume of bets on the shoulders of the market.
Another example of using line analysisbookmakers - is preparing for the emergence of arbitration situations. The fast-growing kef on one of the shoulders in a particular game company, with the same character on others, is a clear signal of the nearest appearance of the plug. If you respond in a timely manner, then this information can be converted into money.
Another area of application for line analysisbookmakers - protection from traps of offices that use artificial forks to catch professional cappers in arbitration. Although these risks are small, but they are. Therefore, if in the line of any office there is an abrupt growth of kef (while the coefficients of other bookmakers do not change) without any logical reason, it is better to refrain from making a bet.
